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Cael- 12-30-2007
Sub-prime crisis: why did Greenspan do nothing?
Sub-prime crisis: why did Greenspan do nothing? 30 December 2007 By Jonathan Weil Sunday Business Post Why did Alan Greenspan fail to act while the root s of the sub-prime mortgage crisis spread? Here’s a possible explanation: the Ayn Rand disciple held fast to his laissez-faire beliefs. The New York Times has chronicled the many warnings the former Federal Reserve chairman received about aggressive sub-prime lenders luring unsuspecting customers into crazy mortgages they couldn’t afford. ‘‘Where was Washington?” the newspaper asked. And where was Greenspan? There was Edward Gramlich, the late Fed governor, who urged Greenspan in 2000 to have Fed examiners investigate the industry. Greenspan said no. Activists from a California housing group, the Greenlining Institute, met Greenspan in 2004, urging him to press lenders for a voluntary code of conduct. Greenspan wasn’t interested and didn’t give a reason. He offered a weak defence: the Fed wasn’t equipped to investigate and wasn’t to blame for the housing bubble and bust. Greenspan’s recent memoirs, The Age of Turbulence, offers no satisfactory answers either. Greenspan said he knew ‘‘the loosening of mortgage credit terms for sub-prime borrowers increased financial risk.” Yet he ‘‘believed then, as now, that the benefits of broadened home ownership are worth the risk.” Perhaps the best answer can be found in an August 1963 article headlined The Assault on Integrity that Greenspan, then aged 37, wrote for Rand’s monthly journal, The Objectivist. Judging by how he rebuffed Gramlich and others, it looks like he followed his old instincts as the sub-prime mess festered. ‘‘Protection of the consumer against ‘dishonest and unscrupulous business practices’ has become a cardinal ingredient of welfare statism,’’ Greenspan began his essay, which Rand included in her 1967 book, Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal. ‘‘Left to their own devices, it is alleged, businessmen would attempt to sell unsafe food and drugs, fraudulent securities and shoddy buildings. Thus, it is argued, the Pure Food and Drug Administration, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the numerous building regulatory agencies are indispensable if the consumer is to be protected from the ‘greed’ of the businessman. ‘‘But it is precisely the ‘greed’ of the businessman or, more appropriately, his profit-seeking, which is the unexcelled protector of the consumer. What collectivists refuse to recognise is that it is in the self-interest of every businessman to have a reputation for honest dealings and a quality product. Reputation, in an unregulated economy is thus a major competitive tool.” This view of the world might well explain why Greenspan did nothing. Yet if he had said these words any time in the past 20 years, they would have rung false to many people familiar with the 1980s savings-and-loan crisis, the corporate scandals touched off by Enron or the housing bust. ‘‘He still believes philosophically what he wrote 30, 40 years ago,” said Greenspan biographer Jerome Tuccille, author of the 2002 book, Alan Shrugged. ‘‘But he must know we don’t have a truly competitive free-market economy, and that’s the context he was writing about. He must know the propensity of corporations to put greed ahead of their reputations.” Greenspan wrote: ‘‘It requires years of consistently excellent performance to acquire a reputation and to establish it as a financial asset. Thereafter, a still greater effort is required to maintain it: a company cannot afford to risk its years of investment by letting down its standards of quality for one moment or for one inferior product; nor would it be tempted by any potential ‘quick killing’. ‘‘Newcomers entering the field cannot compete immediately with the established, reputable companies, and have to spend years working on a more modest scale in order to earn an equal reputation. Thus the incentive to scrupulous performance operates on all levels of a given field of production. It is a built-in safeguard of a free enterprise system and the only real protection of consumers against business dishonesty.” Government regulation, he went on, ‘‘is not an alternative means of protecting the consumer. It does not build quality into goods, or accuracy into information. Its sole ‘contribution’ is to substitute force and fear for incentive as the ‘protector’ of the consumer.” Minimum standards, he said, gradually become the maximums, and regulation undermines the moral base of business dealings. ‘‘It becomes cheaper to bribe a building inspector than to meet his standards of construction. A fly-by-night securities operator can quickly meet all the SEC requirements, gain the inference of respectability and proceed to fleece the public.” In an unregulated economy, the operator would have had to spend a number of years in reputable dealings before he could earn a position of trust sufficient to induce a number of investors to place funds with him. The largely unregulated sub-prime lending industry, of course, didn’t turn out this way. Countless mortgage brokers and lenders didn’t care about their reputations. Wall Street banks, which packaged and pitched the loans as AAA securities, didn’t care about theirs either. There were quick killings to be had. Four decades later, Greenspan’s argument seems almost childlike in its idealism. Yet, judging by his inaction, it looks like he never stopped believing.

Kat- 12-31-2007

Excellent article Cael, In his book, Greenspan repeatedly tries to absolve himself of guilt in the subprime debacle and places it squarely on the hands of congress and the lenders. Though does admit that the consumers are by far the least culbable in this matter. The fact is greenspen is just as guilty, these mortgages should never have been allowed.

Cael- 12-31-2007

I see that he thought the increase in home ownership was worth the risk. Certainly, more people getting out of the trap of renting from private landlords is a worthwhile objective, but some of the interest rates and conditions on these loans could not have been met by fairly rich people that the banks would have been happy to deal with on usual terms, not to mind people with an already difficult position. The whole thing was an obvious scam, and Greenspan must have saw that.

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